It’s virtually that point of the 12 months once more. The place your tipping prowess is put to the ultimate test and bragging rights for the following 12 months are on the road.
Sure, the Melbourne Cup is back this Tuesday.
Now we have each one of many 24 runners coated, whereas main Herald Solar type analyst Gilbert Gardiner and Group 1-winning jockey Katelyn Mallyon give their opinion of each horse.
CUP BARRIER DRAW: WINNERS AND LOSERS
MELBOURNE CUP TIPS: WHAT THE EXPERTS SAY
CUP DAY FACTORS
First race: 10.45am
Melbourne Cup: 3pm
Final race: 5.15pm
Monitor: Good (Four)
Climate: Sunny 28C
THE CONTENDERS
1. ANTHONY VAN DYCK (Ire) 58.5KG
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Coach: Aidan O’Brien
Barrier: Three
5YO bay horse
Galileo-Imagine’n’succeed
Begins: 18: 6-Four-Three
Prizemoney: $Four,127,358
Greatest win: Gp1 Epsom Derby (2400m), 2nd Caulfield Cup (2400m)
Win vary: 1408-2420m
Strike charge: 6 Wins (33%) – 7 Placings (72%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $Eight
At all times helpful earlier than scoring sht nk win of 6 (5) $Four.80 58.5 Stradivarius, Nagano Gold 2400m Fr – Longchamp G2 Prix Foy Good Sept 13. Rattled residence from properly again when sht nk 2nd of 18 (17) $6.00 58.5 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: All class and unfortunate to not be capturing for the Caulfield-Melbourne Cups double. Was sensible behind Verry Elleegant at Caulfield regardless of large draw and unsuitable give within the floor. Much better on dry surfaces and never for the load can be an ethical to win. Particular place likelihood.
MALLYON SAYS: Final horse to hold No.1 saddlecloth and win was Makybe Diva again in 2005 when the nice mare gained her third Melbourne Cup. This horse definitely can win after producing one of many runs of the race from again within the Caulfield Cup behind Verry Elleegant. Barrier Three will make Hugh Bowman’s trip simpler and I can see him working a high race.
2. AVILIUS 57KG
Jockey: John Allen
Coach: James Cummings
Barrier: 10
7YO gelding
Pivotal-Alessendria
Begins: 32:11-Three-Four
Prizemoney: $Three,306,912
Greatest win: Gp1 Tancred Stakes (2400m)
Win vary: 1600-2500m
Strike charge: 11 Wins (34%) – 7 Placings (56%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $100, now $34
Caught to his weapons when 2 len 2nd of Eight (5) $6.50 59.Zero Kolding 2000m R’wick G2 Hill Stks Good(Four) Oct Three. Held up close to the 400m earlier than ending 2-1/2 len sixth of 18 (13) $31.00 57.Zero Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
Gardiner SAYS: Caulfield Cup run had benefit regardless of ending sixth. Likes give within the floor and higher suited round 2400m. Has not gained for the reason that 2019 George Foremost Stakes (1600m).
MALLYON SAYS: Ran within the Cup two years in the past and bought completely flattened the primary trip of the straight. Overlook he ever went round. This preparation has proven he’s nonetheless able to successful with an distinctive run within the Caulfield Cup with out lots of luck. Any rain round will improve his possibilities.
Three. VOW AND DECLARE 57KG
Jockey: Jamie Mott
Coach: Danny O’Brien
Barrier: Four
5YO chestnut gelding
Declaration Of Warfare-Geblitzt
Begins: 19:Four-Three-Three
Prizemoney: $5,875,930
Greatest win: Gp1 Melbourne Cup (3200m)
Win vary: 1800-3200
Strike charge: Four Wins (21%) – 6 Placings (53%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $26, now $34
Wasn’t distant when 2-Three/Four len 12th of 15 (10) $26.00 57.5 Verry Elleegant 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three. By no means threatened when Eight-Three/Four len 15th of 18 (14) $41.00 57.Zero Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: All the pieces went proper for him final 12 months, capable of get throughout from the large draw to dictate the pace and kick strongly, and he duly saluted. Has a giant weight and never going anyplace close to in addition to final 12 months.
MALLYON SAYS: Final 12 months’s winner of the Melbourne Cup so the journey isn’t any worries for him. The final gelding to do the again to again cups was Assume Massive in 1974-75. A large thrill for jockey Jamie Mott, who’s having his second trip within the massive race, and from barrier 4 he’ll be capable of discover a terrific spot in working. Not the worst.
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Four. MASTER OF REALITY 56KG
Jockey: Ben Melham
Coach: Joseph O’Brien
Barrier: 11
6YO gelding
Frankel-L’Ancresse
Begins: 17:Four-Three-2
Prizemoney: $366,926
Greatest win: third Gp1 Ascot Gold Cup UK (4000m)
Win vary: 2400-2816m
Strike charge: Four Wins (24%) – 5 Placings (53%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $26
Simply missed when sht hd 2nd of Eight (9) $Four.60 62.Zero Delphi 2816m Ire – Curragh G3 Irish St Leger Good Aug 14. Cleared away for Three-1/2 len win of Eight (6) $1.50F 60.5 Barbados, Rakan 2816m Ire – Down Royal LR Her Majesty’s Delicate Sept Four.
GARDINER SAYS: Unfortunate to not win final 12 months regardless of going like a dodgem automobile within the straight. Simple final begin winner down in grade in Northern Eire and should be thought of once more as a number one contender.
MALLYON SAYS: Irish horse who ran an enormous race final 12 months within the Cup when narrowly overwhelmed by Vow and Declare. This 12 months he appears to be going even higher with a second within the Irish St Ledger Trial and a formidable victory within the Her Majesty’s Plate. If he have been to win the Cup he’ll give proprietor Lloyd Williams his seventh win within the nice race and Ben Melham his first after getting so shut three years in the past on Johannes Vermeer.
5. SIR DRAGONET (Ire) 55.5KG
Jockey: Glen Boss
Coach: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
Barrier: 14
5YO bay stallion
Camelot-Sparrow
Begins: 10:Three-Four-Zero
Prizemoney: $Three,250,00Zero
Greatest win: Gp1 Cox Plate (2040m)
Win vary: 2040-2505m
Strike charge: Three Wins (30%) – Four Placings (70%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $26, now $Eight
Made good late floor when 2-1/Four len 2nd of 6 (1) $19.00 62.5 Magical 2012m Ire – Curragh G1 Tatt’s Gold Cup Delicate July 26. Powered residence for 1-1/Four len win of 14 (6) $7.50 59.Zero Armory, Russian Camelot 2040m M Valley G1 Cox Plate Delicate(7) Oct 24.
GARDINER SAYS: So much to love about this bloke. The way in which he gained the Cox Plate prompt there was a lot left within the tank additionally. Does admire the sting out of the bottom although so situations may very well be important to his possibilities. Properly weighted and has the in-form G.Boss. A number of ticks.
MALLYON SAYS: Irish galloper who was afforded a gorgeous trip by Glen Boss within the Cox Plate. He solely getting heat on the road and post-race regarded as if he may have gone round once more. This horse is match and has the 3200m written throughout him. Drawn properly in barrier 14, my solely question is the horse hasn’t gained on observe so I assume they’re hoping it’s not too agency on the day.
6. TWILIGHT PAYMENT (Ire) 55.5KG
Jockey: Jye McNeil
Coach: Joseph O’Brien
Barrier: 12
8YO bay gelding
Teofilo-Dream On Buddy
Begins: 30:7-10-6
Prizemoney: $858,Zero71
Greatest win: Gp2 Currah Cup (2800m)
Win vary: 2414-3218m
Strike charge: 7 Wins (23%) – 16 Placings (77%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $34
Got here immediately for Eight len win of 6 (1) $1.55F 63.Zero Grasp Of Actuality, Camphor 2816m Ire – Curragh G2 Curragh Cup Lifeless July 18. Caught to his weapons when 2 len, nk third of Eight (6) $5.50 62.Zero Search For A Track, Fujaira Prince 2816m Ire – Curragh LR Irish St Leger Good Sept 13.
GARDINER SAYS: Run final 12 months was stuffed with benefit (11th behind Vow And Declare) and appears to have returned a much better commodity for Lloyd Williams. Final begin third within the Group 1 Irish St Leger. He walloped a small discipline on the Curragh previous to that, successful by eight lengths with Grasp Of Actuality working second.
MALLYON SAYS: Got here out final 12 months and ran properly within the Cup after having to do a bit of labor from barrier 19. This 12 months he’s drawn somewhat nearer in 12 which is able to permit him to discover a spot a bit faster and simpler. The horse appears to be going higher this 12 months. He was an eight-length winner of the Curragh Cup with 63kg then ran a stable third within the Irish St Ledger with 62kg. Can’t underestimate the expertise this horse has.
7. VERRY ELLEEGANT 55.5KG
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Coach: Chris Waller
Barrier: 15
5YO brown mare
Zed-Opulence
Begins: 24:11-5-1
Prizemoney: $6,880,575
Greatest win: Gp1 Caulfield Cup (2400m)
Win vary: 1400-2400m
Strike charge: 11 Wins (46%) – 6 Placings (71%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $13, now $13
Toughed it out for sht hd win of 15 (9) $5.00F 55.5 Toffee Tongue, Finche 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three. Ran on strongly for sht nk win of 18 (Eight) $5.00F 55.Zero Anthony Van Dyck, The Chosen One 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: The true deal and clear high decide of the native hopes. Winner of six Group 1s together with the 2020 Caulfield Cup. Ethereal was the final horse to finish the double in 2001 however Verry Elleegant has the standard and grit to be proper within the end. Distance the one question.
MALLYON SAYS: Six-time Group 1 in pink scorching type after successful the Turnbull Stakes and Caulfield Cup. She’s constructed like a marathon runner and her coronary heart is as massive as herself. She is bred to remain the journey nonetheless her racing manners can typically deliver her undone. She is a horse that enjoys room so barrier 15 isn’t any concern. Any rain round will assist her possibilities.
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Eight. MUSTAJEER 55KG
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Coach: Kris Lees
Barrier: 2
8YO gelding
Medicean-Qelaan
Begins: 29:5-5-Three
Prizemoney: $2,025,046
Greatest win: 2nd Gp1 Tancred Stakes (2400m)
Win vary: 1609-2787m
Strike charge: 5 Wins (17%) – Eight Placings (45%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $51
Beat half the sector residence when Four-1/2 len ninth of 18 (5) $61.00 58.Zero Mirage Dancer 2400m R’wick G1 The Metrop Good(Four) Oct Three. Handed a pair late when Three-Three/Four len eighth of 18 (11) $101.00 55.Zero Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: Former worldwide had type round the best horses within the UK however struggled to make the highest grade in Australia. Might be ending within the second half of the sector.
MALLYON SAYS: One other horse having his second try at successful the nice race. He ran 23rd within the Cup final 12 months. I feel having one other 12 months to adapt to the Australian local weather and racing will maintain him in a greater spot this 12 months. He appears an sincere stayer however every thing does must work out completely for him. His jockey Michael Rodd gained the race on Environment friendly in 2007.
9. STRATUM ALBION (GB) 55KG
Jockey: Jordan Childs
Coach: Willie Mullins
Barrier: 9
8YO gelding
Dansili-Lunar Section
Begins: 29: 6-5-5
Prizemoney: $642,704
Greatest win: 2nd Gp2 Lonsdale Cup UK (3260m)
Win vary: 2018-3621m
Strike charge: 6 Wins (21%) – 10 Placings (55%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $34
Safely held when 22-1/Four len seventh of 18 (Zero) $17.00 74.5 Nice White Shark 4626m Ire – Galway Hrdl Delicate July 31. Saved coming when Three/Four len 2nd of seven (Four) $21.00 58.5 Enbihaar 3219m G B – York G2 Lonsdale Cup Good Aug 21.
GARDINER SAYS: From the identical coach as Max Dynamite – the sun shades carrying hurdler that made an impression in Melbourne – and brings comparable formlines. Final begin runner up within the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup splitting Enbihaar and Nayef Highway and previous to that contested three hurdle races. Might be working on on the end.
MALLYON SAYS: He wasn’t overwhelmed far in a Group 2 Lonsdale Cup (3200m) in England earlier than making his approach to Australia. A number of jumps races within the type strains however I’m not fearful as a result of Willie Mullens has had success beforehand following that comparable path into the race with Max Dynamite, who was so shut on two events. High coach should be revered.
10. DASHING WILLOUGHBY (GB) 54.5KG
Jockey: Michael Walker
Coach: Andrew Balding
Barrier: 19
5YO bay gelding
Nathaniel-Miss Dashwood
Begins: 14:Four-2-1
Prizemoney: $387,346
Greatest win: Gp2 Queens Vase, Ascot UK (2847m)
Win vary: 1739-3264m
Strike charge: Four Wins (29%) – Three Placings (50%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $26, now $151
Toughed it out when 2-1/2 len 4th of seven (7) $Three.30 58.5 Enbihaar 3219m G B – York G2 Lonsdale Cup Good Aug 21. Didn’t end it off when 27-1/Four len final of 18 (1) $31.00 54.5 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: Too unhealthy to be true within the Caulfield Cup. For those who can neglect a 27.2-length final begin defeat then have one thing each-way. Prior type adequate to be a real contender.
MALLYON SAYS: Appeared to have gone amiss within the Caulfield Cup however pulled up with no abnormalities. He definitely can keep so in the event you’re prepared to forgive his run within the Caulfield Cup his type previous to that appears to be OK. Possibly he wasn’t a fan of Caulfield but it surely’s actually laborious to see him successful that efficiency.
11. FINCHE 54.5KG
Jockey: James McDonald
Coach: Chris Waller
Barrier: 6
7YO chestnut gelding
Frankel-Binche
Begins: 18:Four-1-5
Prizemoney: $1,291,321
Greatest win: fifth Gp1 Caulfield Cup
Win vary: 1600-2500m
Strike charge: Four Wins (22%) – 6 Placings (56%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $26, now $15
Coated further floor when sht hd, sht hd third of 15 (15) $5.50 54.5 Verry Elleegant, Toffee Tongue 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three. Had no luck when 2-1/2 len fifth of 18 (9) $9.00 54.5 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: Bought a little bit of again me subsequent time about him does the son of Frankel however equally, he all the time appears to run properly. Distance no downside and has the good thing about James McDonald within the saddle. Wants room to totally unwind and should be due for a change of luck. Undoubtedly one for the exotics.
MALLYON SAYS: Trying to be the primary horse since Empire Rose in 1988 to win the Melbourne Cup at a 3rd try. Finche has completed no worse than Three.5L in his first two Cups. He’s an sincere stayer who has drawn to get the run of the race from barrier six. Has a giant lengthy stride and loves the massive observe at Flemington. You may’t depart him out of your multiples and he certain offers you a terrific run to your cash.
12. PRINCE OF ARRAN (GB) 54.5KG
Jockey: Jamie Kah
Coach: Charlie Fellowes
Barrier: 1
8YO bay gelding
Shirocco-Storming Sioux
Begins: 44:6-Eight-Eight
Prizemoney: $Three,126,Zero71
Greatest win: Gp3 Geelong Cup (2400m)
Win vary: 1609-3200m
Strike charge: 6 Wins (14%) – 16 Placings (50%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $10
Saved coming when 7 len, hd third of 6 (1) $17.00 59.5 Allow, Kirstenbosch 2412m G B – Kempton Park G3 September Stks Artificial Sept 5. Rattled residence from properly again when 1-Three/Four len 4th of 18 (15) $17.00 54.5 Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: Goes to a different degree in Australia and has constructed a cult following because of this. Positioned within the Cup final 12 months and will get the good thing about in-form Jamie Kah within the saddle. Getting lengthy within the tooth however his Caulfield Cup suggests the Prince goes in addition to ever earlier than.
MALLYON SAYS: One other horse trying to win the race at their third try. Positioned previously two Cups and appears to be going higher once more this 12 months. His run within the Caulfield Cup was distinctive and after drawing barrier one, with scorching jock Jamie Kah driving, it appears the celebrities are aligning for a repeat of the 2015 Melbourne Cup when Michelle Payne took it out on a Prince Of Penzance.
13. SURPRISE BABY 54.5KG
Jockey: Craig Williams
Coach: Paul Pruesker
Barrier: 7
6YO bay/brown gelding
Stunning-Bula Child
Begins: 13:5-2-1
Prizemoney: $998,735
Greatest win: Gp3 Bart Cummings (2500m)
Win vary: 1200-3200m
Strike charge: 5 Wins (38%) – Three Placings (62%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $10, now $9
Ran on strongly for lg nk 2nd of Eight (7) $Three.30F 59.Zero Humidor 1600m M Valley G2 Feehan Stakes Good(Three) Sept 5. Started awkwardly then held up a number of instances when 2-1/2 len ninth of 15 (1) $6.00 57.5 Verry Elleegant 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three.
GARDINER SAYS: Tremendous run final 12 months from a large alley and skilled to the minute to peak on the primary Tuesday in November once more. Will get in mild and confirmed on the distance. Severe successful likelihood.
MALLYON SAYS: A promising stayer on the rise who discovered himself simply too far again within the Melbourne Cup final 12 months and needed to make up an enormous quantity of floor. He has been rigorously positioned by coach Paul Preusker his complete profession and this horse has proven he undoubtedly has what it takes to win the Cup. Craig Williams is searching for back-to-back Cups and I feel he has the best horse to do it. Drawn properly in barrier seven he shouldn’t discover himself way back to final 12 months.
14. KING OF LEOGRANCE 53.5KG
Jockey: Damian Lane
Coach: Danny O’Brien
Barrier: 18
6YO bay gelding
Camelot-Amourette
Begins: 15:5-Three-Three
Prizemoney: $589,466
Greatest win: Gp2 Adelaide Cup (3200m)
Win vary: 1600-3200m
Strike charge: 5 Wins (33%) – 6 Placings (73%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $18, now $51
Started awkwardly when Four-1/2 len 13th of 15 (14) $21.00 56.5 Verry Elleegant 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three. Held up on straightening earlier than ending lg hd, 1-1/Four len third of 9 (Three) $Eight.50 58.Zero Metal Prince, Le Don De Vie 2400m Geelong G3 Geelong Cup Good(Four) Oct 21.
GARDINER SAYS: Not overwhelmed far within the Geelong Cup however wants to seek out a number of lengths to be aggressive. Second to Oceanex within the Andrew Ramsden and neither has come on.
MALLYON SAYS: Adelaide Cup winner (3200m) and regarded a category above. Since then he has had three begins and his latest effort was third within the Geelong Cup the place he regarded to have each likelihood. He all the time regarded to have a little bit of high quality about him however his most up-to-date type has me questioning if we’re seeing his true potential.
15. RUSSIAN CAMELOT 53.5KG
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Coach: Danny O’Brien
Barrier: 16
4YO black/brown stallion
Camelot-Girl Babooshka
Begins: 9:Four-Three-1
Prizemoney: $1,466,225
Greatest win: Gp1 South Australian Derby (2500m)
Win vary: 1400-2500m
Strike charge: Four Wins (44%) – Four Placings (89%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $9, now $13
Bought run down late when 1-1/Four len 2nd of 6 (Four) $1.40F 56.5 Arcadia Queen 2000m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Stks Good(Four) Oct 10. Caught to his weapons when 1-1/Four len, Three/Four len third of 14 (14) $Three.50F 56.5 Sir Dragonet, Armory 2040m M Valley G1 Cox Plate Delicate(7) Oct 24.
GARDINER SAYS: Massive wraps on him going into the spring and has not dissatisfied, with a win and three placings all at Group 1 degree. Simply didn’t have the flip of pace to go along with the imports within the Cox Plate so may discover the 3200m extra to his liking. Sat large and throttled them within the South Australian Derby (2500m) final preparation. Will he be higher off subsequent 12 months?
MALLYON SAYS: An aesthetic northern hemisphere-bred 4 year-old who has executed an incredible job in a brief period of time. Having his 10th begin within the Melbourne Cup is outstanding and can be some type of coaching effort from Danny O’Brien if he can win. I feel he’s definitely a horse for the longer term, I’m simply fearful about whether or not it’s all come a bit quickly for him however definitely can be within the combine and a fair higher horse subsequent 12 months.
16. STEEL PRINCE 53.5KG
Jockey: William Pike
Coach: Anthony Freedman
Barrier: 21
6YO bay gelding
Nathaniel-Metal Princess
Begins: 26:9-5-Three
Prizemoney: $1,Zero63,453
Greatest win: Gp3 Geelong Cup (2400m)
Win vary: 1800-2800m
Strike charge: 9 Wins (35%) – Eight Placings (65%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $101, now $51
Raced large with out cowl when len, nostril third of 15 (14) $7.50 58.Zero Persan, Sound 2510m F’ton G3 Bart Cummings Good(Three) Oct Three. At all times helpful when scoring lg hd win of 9 (7) $Three.50F 57.5 Le Don De Vie, King Of Leogrance 2400m Geelong G3 Geelong Cup Good(Four) Oct 21.
GARDINER SAYS: Geelong Cup winner and solely overwhelmed two lengths final 12 months when ninth in the Melbourne Cup. Comes into this in higher form than final 12 months. Possibly one for the exotics.
MALLYON SAYS: Is following the identical path into the Melbourne Cup as final 12 months, nonetheless, this time he was capable of take residence the Geelong Cup. He completed simply over two lengths off them in final 12 months’s Cup and having that win below his belt is definitely an enormous confidence booster. He has the Wizard from the West Willie Pike aboard and he definitely goes to wish to work a few of that magic from barrier 21, the latest barrier to achieve success within the Cup.
17. THE CHOSEN ONE (NZ) 53.5KG
Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse
Coach: Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman
Barrier: 5
5YO bay stallion
Savabeel-The Glitzy One
Begins: 26:6-Three-2
Prizemoney: $1,316,297
Greatest win: third Gp1 Caulfield Cup
Win vary: 1400-2400m
Strike charge: 6 Wins (23%) – 5 Placings (42%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $101, now $51
Coated further floor when 5 len seventh of 9 (6) $11.00 58.Zero Chapada 2400m C’discipline G2 Herbert Energy Good(Three) Oct 10. Started awkwardly then checked close to the 300m when sht nk, Three/Four len third of 18 (2) $61.00 53.5 Verry Elleegant, Anthony Van Dyck 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: Gained first up at Flemington final month like Pegasus after which put in two howlers at Caulfield earlier than an eye catching third within the Caulfield Cup. Mixes type however at finest may very well be there on the clocktower.
MALLYON SAYS: The Kiwi galloper should not be discounted after his cracking third within the Caulfield Cup behind Verry Elleegant and Anthony Van Dyke. He was overwhelmed 5 lengths in final 12 months’s Cup however appears to be in higher form this time in. He ran second within the Sydney Cup (3200m) to Etah James on a heavy observe and has drawn to get a mushy run from barrier 5.
18. ASHRUN 53KG
Jockey: Declan Bates
Coach: Andreas Wohler
Barrier: 24
5YO bay stallion
Approved-Ashantee
Begins: 13:Four-2-1
Prizemoney: $315,639
Greatest win: third Gp3 Grosser Preis von Bayern GER (2400m)
Win vary: 2200-2500m
Strike charge: Four Wins (31%) – Three Placings (54%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $17
Toughed it out when 1-1/2 len 2nd of Eight (9) $5.30 59.Zero Name The Wind 3000m Fr – Deauville G2 Prix Kergorlay Delicate Aug 23. Frolicked on straightening earlier than ending 1-1/2 len 4th of 9 (Eight) $6.00 58.5 Metal Prince 2400m Geelong G3 Geelong Cup Good(Four) Oct 21. Then driving win $5 55.Zero Hotham Handicap (2500m) Flemington Good(Four) Oct 31.
GARDINER SAYS: Melbourne Cup-winning coach Andreas Wohler, who ready Protectionist for Australian Bloodstock, is the one worldwide coach to make the journey Down Below for the Cup. He’s both right here for a vacation or to choose up a cheque. Ashrun savaged the road late to win the Hotham, wants solely to get well to be an element.
MALLYON SAYS: I beloved his efficiency within the Hotham Handicap and he appears to be crying for the 3200m. He ran properly within the Geelong Cup prior however as soon as he stepped onto the massive Flemington observe he actually got here into his personal. Andreas Wohler gained the Cup in 2014 with Protectionist so he is aware of the best horses to deliver out for the massive one. Third run in 13 days the one question?
19. WARNING 53KG
Jockey: Luke Currie
Coach: Anthony Freedman
Barrier: Eight
4YO chestnut gelding
Declaration Of Warfare-Livia
Begins: 16:2-1-Three
Prizemoney: $1,505,900
Greatest win: Gp1 VRC Derby (2500m)
Win vary: 1800-2500m
Strike charge: 2 Wins (12%) – Four Placings (38%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $34
Made good late floor when len sixth of 15 (7) $61.00 56.5 Verry Elleegant 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three. By no means bought shut when 5-1/Four len 12th of 18 (16) $21.00 53.Zero Verry Elleegant 2400m C’discipline G1 Caulfield Cup Delicate(6) Oct 17.
GARDINER SAYS: Not going properly sufficient to be successful however ought to be aggressive all the identical. Saves his finest for the larger tracks however laborious to go previous the very fact his final win was the 2019 Victoria Derby. Solely a size behind Verry Elleegant when sixth within the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes then doubtlessly caught on the fallacious a part of the observe within the Caulfield Cup.
MALLYON SAYS: Victoria Derby winner final 12 months attempting to emulate the massive gray Environment friendly, who was profitable within the double in 2006-07. He’s a horse that every thing must go proper as we noticed within the Caulfield Cup when he ran a disappointing 12th. If he can discover a spot not too distant he may give a sight! The mighty Subzero carried the well-known Freedman colors to victory in 1992.
20. ETAH JAMES 52.5KG
Jockey: Billy Egan
Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
Barrier: 22
8YO brown mare
Increase The Flag-Etah
Begins: 32:Eight-2-1
Prizemoney: $1,466,225
Greatest win: Gp1 Sydney Cup (3200m)
Win vary: 1400-2500m
Strike charge: Four Wins (44%) – Four Placings (89%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $101, now $151
By no means threatened when Eight-Three/Four len 13th of 18 (6) $51.00 53.5 Mirage Dancer 2400m R’wick G1 The Metrop Good(Four) Oct Three. Saved coming when Four len 4th of 12 (Three) $31.00 56.Zero Miami Certain 2500m M Valley G2 M.V. Gold Cup Delicate(7) Oct 24.
GARDINER SAYS: Massive odds Sydney Cup (3200m) winner and she is going to go round at large odds once more. Fourth within the Auckland Cup (3200m) previous to that. Disappointing within the Metropolitan two begins again however improved efficiency within the Moonee Valley Gold Cup. Solely method you’re backing it’s in case your title is Etah.
MALLYON SAYS: Since successful the Sydney Cup she’s solely had two different runs, The Metropolitan and the Moonee Valley Gold Cup, the place she ran OK. She may be attending to her proper health ranges now and the final horse to win the Sydney-Melbourne Cup double was the mighty mare Makybe Diva.
21. TIGER MOTH (Ire) 52.5KG
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Coach: Aidan O’Brien
Barrier: 23
4YO stallion
Galileo-Lesson In Humility
Begins: Four:2-1-1
Prizemoney: $352,409
Greatest win: 2nd Gp1 Irish Derby (2400m)
Win vary: 2012-2414m
Strike charge: 2 Wins (50%) – 2 Placings (100%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $51, now $Eight
Simply missed when hd 2nd of 14 (2) $12.00 58.Zero Santiago 2414m Ire – Curragh G1 Irish Derby Good June 27. Powered away for Four len win of 12 (5) $1.85F 58.5 Silence Please, Up Helly Aa 2414m Ire – Leopardstown G3 Kilternan Stks Good Sept 12.
GARDINER SAYS: Weight? Tick. Breeding? Tick. Secure? Tick. Jockey? Tick. Aidan O’Brien is determined to win the Melbourne Cup? Tick. Solely had the 4 profession begins however steady adamant expertise (or lack of) gained’t get him overwhelmed. Runner-up within the Group 1 Irish Derby (2400m).
MALLYON SAYS: This horse appears the true deal. Narrowly overwhelmed within the Irish Derby, which is a race that has produced a few of our champion stayers previously, after which adopted it up with a simple win within the Group Three Kilternan Stakes (2400m). He’ll leap from barrier 23, which hasn’t produced the Cup winner since Van Der Hum in 1976 however with a bit of luck he can be within the end.
22. OCEANEX 51.5KG
Jockey: Dean Yendall
Coach: Mick Worth & Michael Kent Jr
Barrier: 17
5YO bay/brown mare
Ocean Park-Danex
Begins: 22:6-Four-Four
Prizemoney: $721,970
Greatest win: LR Andrew Ramsden Stakes (2800m)
Win vary: 1600-2800m
Strike charge: 6 Wins (27%) – Eight Placings (64%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $26, now $67
Set the tempo earlier than ending Four-1/2 len 14th of 15 (13) $91.00 55.5 Verry Elleegant 2000m F’ton G1 Turnbull Stks Good(Three) Oct Three. Bought nabbed late when 2-1/2 len, half of len third of 12 (6) $10.00 55.Zero Miami Certain, Shared Ambition 2500m M Valley G2 M.V. Gold Cup Delicate(7) Oct 24.
GARDINER SAYS: Certified for the Cup in Could, successful the Listed Andrew Ramsden Stakes, the identical type line as Shock Child and Metal Prince final 12 months, however returned within the spring and solely battled in three begins prior a pleasant third within the Group 2 Moonee Valley Vase final Saturday. Handed match to race final week after exhibiting some indicators of lameness. Tackle belief.
MALLYON SAYS: Gained her method into the Cup by successful the Andrew Ramsden again in Could. On that event she defeated King of Leogrance and ever since has been simply going pretty. Her newest effort confirmed she is considerably again to her finest and little question she is going to take pleasure in getting out to 3200m and the massive observe.
23. MIAMI BOUND 51KG
Jockey: Daniel Moor
Coach: Danny O’Brien
Barrier: 13
4YO bay mare
Dependable Man-Arapaho Miss
Begins: 14:5-Zero-2
Prizemoney: $1,228,00Zero
Greatest win: Gp1 VRC Oaks (2500m)
Win vary: 1400-2500m
Strike charge: 5 Wins (36%) – 2 Placings (50%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $101, now $34
Had each likelihood when Three-Three/Four len sixth of 9 (1) $21.00 54.Zero Chapada 2400m C’discipline G2 Herbert Energy Good(Three) Oct 10. Powered away for 2-1/2 len win of 12 (Four) $26.00 54.Zero Shared Ambition, Oceanex 2500m M Valley G2 M.V. Gold Cup Delicate(7) Oct 24.
GARDINER SAYS: 2019 Oaks winner snapped a six-start drought successful the Moonee Valley Gold Cup in emphatic style. In all probability wants an honest sprinkling of rain to seek out her finest however will get in tremendous mild and likes Flemington.
MALLYON SAYS: The VRC Oaks winner from final 12 months should not have any downside staying the journey. Lastly put her subsequent win on the board final week within the Moonee Valley Gold Cup the place she powered by the road. She appears to be again in enterprise after a few abnormal runs initially of the prep.
24. PERSAN 51KG
Jockey: Michael Dee
Coach: Ciaron Maher and David Eustace
Barrier: 20
4YO brown stallion
Pierro-Ofcourseican
Begins: 19:6-Four-1
Prizemoney: $656,971
Greatest win: Gp3 Bart Cummings (2500m)
Win vary: 1600-2510m
Strike charge: 6 Wins (32%) – 5 Placings (58%)
Melbourne Cup odds: Opened $201, now $51
Simply missed when lg hd 2nd of 10 (6) $Three.20 56.Zero Lord Belvedere 2500m F’ton Qlty Good(Four) Sept 12. Got here from midfield to attain len win of 15 (1) $10.00 55.Zero Sound, Metal Prince 2510m F’ton G3 Bart Cummings Good(Three) Oct Three.
GARDINER SAYS: Properly weighted and took out the Group Three Bart Cummings (2500m) in model. Been up some time, having raced by the winter as a late-blooming son of Golden Slipper winner Pierro. Ought to be thereabouts once more.
MALLYON SAYS: Gained his method into the race through The Bart Cummings and won’t have had a run since. He’s sincere because the day is lengthy and has raced all by winter so undoubtedly has health on his aspect. You may’t rule him out. The final horse to win from barrier 20 was Empire Rose in 1988.
KATELYN MALLYON TIPS
1. PRINCE OF ARRAN
2. SURPRISE BABY
Three. TIGER MOTH
Four. SIR DRAGONET
Greatest roughie: Warning
GILBERT GARDINER TIPS
1. TIGER MOTH
2. ANTHONY VAN DYCK
Three. PRINCE OF ARRAN
Four. SURPRISE BABY
Greatest roughie: Persan
SIMON MOY TIPS
1. PRINCE OF ARRAN
2. RUSSIAN CAMELOT
Three. ANTHONY VAN DYCK
Four. FINCHE
Greatest roughie: Persan
The post Melbourne Cup tips 2020: field, form guide, horses, odds, Katelyn Mallyon appeared first on Brunswick Remedial Massage.
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